Expected Runs

I thought I'd throw the expected runs tables up here, since that conversation happened before the site was active. As you recall, the table on the left shows the average amount of runs an average MLB team scores in the given situations. The chart on the right shows the chances of scoring at least one run. The utility of sacrificing or trying to take an extra base can be seen by comparing the before and after expected runs. To find the break even success rate for stealing, use this formula:
X = (A – C) / (B – C)
X=Break even point; A=Expected runs before attempt; B=Expected runs after successful attempt; C=Expected runs after failed attempt.